Background/objective: Breast density and cancer risk are key imaging-derived biomarkers, yet their assessment is limited by inter-reader variability and inconsistent reproducibility. This Technical Note evaluates the feasibility of a bifurcated neural network designed to simultaneously predict breast density and a composite cancer risk index, providing a methodological foundation for future integration into contrast-enhanced mammography (CEM) workflows. Materials and methods: A simulated cohort of 1000 patients was generated to reproduce clinically plausible variability in breast density (Densitanum) and cancer risk (RiskEnum). A multi-output neural network was developed and compared with two baselines: multiple linear regression and a single-output multilayer perceptron (MLP). Performance was assessed using R2, mean squared error (MSE), and mean absolute error (MAE). Learned trends were examined for consistency with established physiological and epidemiologic patterns. Results: Linear regression showed limited explanatory power (R2 ≈ 0.144). The single-output MLP improved prediction of the cancer risk index (R2 = 0.436; MSE = 9.558). The bifurcated neural network achieved MAE values below 4 for both outputs (2.624 for Densitanum; 3.731 for RiskEnum), demonstrating robust performance and the advantage of simultaneous multi-target prediction. The model reproduced clinically coherent patterns, including the expected age-related decline in breast density. Conclusions: This simulation-based feasibility study demonstrates that bifurcated neural networks can jointly model correlated breast imaging biomarkers with high internal consistency. The proposed architecture provides a reproducible methodological platform that can be directly tested on real CEM datasets to support future AI-enhanced risk stratification and personalized screening pathways.

Bifurcated Networks for Breast Density & Cancer Risk: A Technical Framework

Di Grezia G.
;
2026-01-01

Abstract

Background/objective: Breast density and cancer risk are key imaging-derived biomarkers, yet their assessment is limited by inter-reader variability and inconsistent reproducibility. This Technical Note evaluates the feasibility of a bifurcated neural network designed to simultaneously predict breast density and a composite cancer risk index, providing a methodological foundation for future integration into contrast-enhanced mammography (CEM) workflows. Materials and methods: A simulated cohort of 1000 patients was generated to reproduce clinically plausible variability in breast density (Densitanum) and cancer risk (RiskEnum). A multi-output neural network was developed and compared with two baselines: multiple linear regression and a single-output multilayer perceptron (MLP). Performance was assessed using R2, mean squared error (MSE), and mean absolute error (MAE). Learned trends were examined for consistency with established physiological and epidemiologic patterns. Results: Linear regression showed limited explanatory power (R2 ≈ 0.144). The single-output MLP improved prediction of the cancer risk index (R2 = 0.436; MSE = 9.558). The bifurcated neural network achieved MAE values below 4 for both outputs (2.624 for Densitanum; 3.731 for RiskEnum), demonstrating robust performance and the advantage of simultaneous multi-target prediction. The model reproduced clinically coherent patterns, including the expected age-related decline in breast density. Conclusions: This simulation-based feasibility study demonstrates that bifurcated neural networks can jointly model correlated breast imaging biomarkers with high internal consistency. The proposed architecture provides a reproducible methodological platform that can be directly tested on real CEM datasets to support future AI-enhanced risk stratification and personalized screening pathways.
2026
breast density
cancer risk prediction
contrast-enhanced mammography
imaging biomarkers
multi-task learning
neural networks
risk stratification
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14085/57543
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