Trust in science, medicine and medical providers and its relations to vaccine beliefs: A latent class analysis

Aim: People may differ in their vaccine-related beliefs (i.e. efficacy, safety, purpose), with a host of factors influencing these differences. This can produce homogeneous groups of individuals who share certain beliefs, attitudes and opinions not only towards vaccines but science and medicine in general. This study aims to characterise distinct subgroups and identify ideal targets for tailored public health interventions to reinforce favourable vaccine beliefs. Methods: Latent class analysis was used to derive unique profiles using the 2019 Gallup survey of 140 countries. We modelled a composite of vaccine beliefs and regressed this on class membership and relevant covariates. Results: Patterns of item endorsement indicated a well-fitting five-class model, with classes distinguished based on whether individuals sought personal knowledge about science, medicine and health; trusted science and scientists; and reported confidence in the health care system. The lowest levels of vaccine beliefs were reported by a class lacking trust and confidence and the highest levels were reported by a class endorsing trust, confidence and desiring medical and scientific knowledge. Country-level income was moderately related to class membership, and vaccine beliefs were higher in lower-income countries. Conclusions: Findings suggest that public health campaigns can focus on improving trust in science and medical providers. Efforts to improve vaccination rates can only be achieved when individuals trust science, view the work of scientists as beneficial and hold favourable views towards health care providers. Individuals will then accrue the necessary wisdom to make good health care decisions that affect not only themselves but also their fellow citizens.